Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.818474 6.555762 7.362680 8.313328 9.405179 10.622868 12.087775
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.661549 5.610647 6.729740 8.153985 9.928733 12.080785 14.908267
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.983929 5.035851 6.347289 8.117231 10.466145 13.507957 17.796610
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.485953 4.581911 6.010731 8.033287 10.860218 14.727317 20.515217
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.252837 4.426804 6.019822 8.374235 11.824748 16.790460 24.651110
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.959117 4.146306 5.812545 8.367282 12.267015 18.131882 27.884743
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.699026 3.880563 5.589221 8.296417 12.583426 19.294299 30.971490
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.373032 3.484473 5.131692 7.813290 12.191529 19.279531 32.095800
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.219181 3.330756 5.020923 7.851981 12.626134 20.637116 35.733424
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.134460 3.273964 5.051328 8.114644 13.451719 22.739608 41.000712
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.035082 3.183946 5.018158 8.263583 14.091380 24.584171 46.055896
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.934602 3.082784 4.956051 8.352991 14.628789 26.298451 51.109473
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.829387 2.968453 4.867174 8.395600 15.102876 27.987692 56.471063
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.691877 2.788923 4.652140 8.189668 15.085401 28.720589 59.932610
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.593832 2.669380 4.530969 8.143289 15.367970 30.084366 65.011623
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.499080 2.548182 4.396414 8.057057 15.558239 31.275728 69.894828
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.473064 2.547380 4.479383 8.398708 16.662414 34.566464 80.417164
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.401855 2.458693 4.391732 8.391638 17.027833 36.270351 87.302501
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.328398 2.360514 4.278257 8.320520 17.244502 37.660202 93.632800
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.211100 2.172232 3.978256 7.835807 16.489509 36.668687 93.347835
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.163712 2.114224 3.928222 7.874624 16.927231 38.608249 101.616487
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.144125 2.108421 3.980694 8.138146 17.916156 42.050837 114.960374
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.113263 2.078241 3.981463 8.287573 18.650644 44.952726 127.335892